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Groundwater level Simulation and forecasting using ANN at Wadi –Nyala watershed, Darfur Sudan
Mohammed Mokhtar Eisa * #,Thomas Oromo,Adam Ishag,John Leju,Nahla Mustafa,Nabela Hamed
College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai university
*Correspondence author
#Submitted by
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Funding: none
Opened online:30 March 2010
Accepted by: none
Citation: Mohammed Mokhtar Eisa,Thomas Oromo,Adam Ishag.Groundwater level Simulation and forecasting using ANN at Wadi –Nyala watershed, Darfur Sudan[OL]. [30 March 2010] http://en.paper.edu.cn/en_releasepaper/content/41342
 
 
A proper design of the architecture of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models can provide a robust tool in water resources modeling and forecasting. The performance of neural networks in a groundwater level forecasting is examined in order to identify an optimal ANN architecture that can simulate the decreasing trend of the groundwater level and provide acceptable predictions up to 17 months ahead. Wadi –Nyala watershed in the south Darfur Nyala, Sudan. Was chosen as the study area as its groundwater resources have being overexploited during the last twenty years and the groundwater level has been decreasing steadily. The model efficiency and accuracy were measured based on the root mean square error (RMSE) and regression coefficient ( ). The model provided the best fit and the predicted trend followed the observed data closely (RMSE = 0.445 and = 0.973). Thus, for precise and accurate groundwater level simulation, ANN appears to be a promising tool.
Keywords:Artificial neural networks;back-propagation;Feed-forward;simulation groundwater level
 
 
 

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